153P/Ikeya-Zhang

Metadata

Parameter Value
Designation 153P/Ikeya-Zhang
Type P
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2002-03-18T23:31:25.772160Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2020-06-17T10:40:41Z
Obs used 1893
NEO -
M1 4.000
K1 15.000
PC -
Osculating Elements
Parameter Value
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2002-05-08.0000000
e 0.99008066
q (au) 0.507070
a (au) 51.119322
i (deg) 28.120957
Ω (om, deg) 93.369457
ω (w, deg) 34.668179
M (ma, deg) 0.134887

Magnitude

153P/Ikeya-Zhang · Magnitude (Full range)

153P/Ikeya-Zhang · Magnitude (Highlight period)

Scatter + Global Linear

$$ M_a = (6.663 + 3.285\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

Model Parameters

Parameter Value
H0 6.663
n 3.285
gf 0.800
gb -0.500
k 0.926
δ90 1.000
Parameter Symbol Range Description
Absolute magnitude at 1 AU from Sun and Earth H0 -5 to 20 Intrinsic brightness of the comet
Photometric slope parameter n 2 to 6 Rate of brightness change with heliocentric distance
Forward scattering asymmetry factor gf 0.8 to 1 Degree of forward scattering
Backward scattering asymmetry factor gb -1 to -0.5 Degree of backward scattering
Partitioning coefficient k 0.8 to 1 Ratio between forward/backward scattering contributions
Dust-to-gas brightness ratio δ90 1 to 10 Relative contribution of dust scattering to gas emission

Reference: EPSC-DPS2025-160

Residuals (Piecewise)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

Start (UTC) End (UTC) a b
2001-08-25 2002-02-03 +7.8285 +1.084
2002-02-03 2002-03-18 +3.0730 +0.799
2002-03-19 2002-06-13 +0.2070 +0.282
2002-06-13 2002-10-11 +6.0428 -0.737

log10 r = log10(heliocentric distance / AU), Δ = geocentric distance (AU)

Ephemeris

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-07-29 00:00 20:00:24.09 -32:35:13.1 HIP 98319 23.33
2026-07-29 12:00 20:00:20.92 -32:35:20.3 HIP 98319 22.65
2026-07-30 00:00 20:00:17.75 -32:35:27.3 HIP 98319 21.97
2026-07-30 12:00 20:00:14.58 -32:35:34.3 HIP 98319 21.29
2026-07-31 00:00 20:00:11.42 -32:35:41.1 HIP 98319 20.62
2026-07-31 12:00 20:00:08.26 -32:35:47.9 HIP 98319 19.95
2026-08-01 00:00 20:00:05.11 -32:35:54.6 HIP 98319 19.28
2026-08-01 12:00 20:00:01.96 -32:36:01.2 HIP 98319 18.61
2026-08-02 00:00 19:59:58.82 -32:36:07.7 HIP 98319 17.94
2026-08-02 12:00 19:59:55.68 -32:36:14.1 HIP 98319 17.27
2026-08-03 00:00 19:59:52.56 -32:36:20.5 HIP 98319 16.60
2026-08-03 12:00 19:59:49.43 -32:36:26.7 HIP 98319 15.94
2026-08-04 00:00 19:59:46.32 -32:36:32.8 HIP 98319 15.28
2026-08-04 12:00 19:59:43.21 -32:36:38.9 HIP 98319 14.62
2026-08-05 00:00 19:59:40.10 -32:36:44.8 HIP 98319 13.96
2026-08-05 12:00 19:59:37.01 -32:36:50.7 HIP 98319 13.30
2026-08-06 00:00 19:59:33.92 -32:36:56.4 HIP 98319 12.65
2026-08-06 12:00 19:59:30.84 -32:37:02.1 HIP 98319 11.99
2026-08-07 00:00 19:59:27.77 -32:37:07.6 HIP 98319 11.34
2026-08-07 12:00 19:59:24.70 -32:37:13.1 HIP 98319 10.69
2026-08-08 00:00 19:59:21.65 -32:37:18.5 HIP 98319 10.04
2026-08-08 12:00 19:59:18.60 -32:37:23.8 HIP 98319 9.40
2026-08-09 00:00 19:59:15.56 -32:37:28.9 HIP 98319 8.76
2026-08-09 12:00 19:59:12.53 -32:37:34.0 HIP 98319 8.12
2026-08-10 00:00 19:59:09.52 -32:37:39.0 HIP 98319 7.48
2026-08-10 12:00 19:59:06.51 -32:37:43.8 HIP 98319 6.85
2026-08-11 00:00 19:59:03.51 -32:37:48.6 HIP 98319 6.22
2026-08-11 12:00 19:59:00.52 -32:37:53.3 HIP 98319 5.59
2026-08-12 00:00 19:58:57.54 -32:37:57.9 HIP 98319 4.96
2026-08-12 12:00 19:58:54.57 -32:38:02.3 HIP 98319 4.34
2026-08-13 00:00 19:58:51.62 -32:38:06.7 HIP 98319 3.73
2026-08-13 12:00 19:58:48.67 -32:38:11.0 HIP 98319 3.12
2026-08-14 00:00 19:58:45.74 -32:38:15.2 HIP 98319 2.53
2026-08-14 12:00 19:58:42.81 -32:38:19.2 HIP 98319 1.95
2026-08-15 00:00 19:58:39.90 -32:38:23.2 HIP 98319 1.40
2026-08-15 12:00 19:58:37.01 -32:38:27.1 HIP 98319 0.95
2026-08-16 00:00 19:58:34.12 -32:38:30.8 HIP 98319 0.77
2026-08-16 12:00 19:58:31.25 -32:38:34.5 HIP 98319 1.01
2026-08-17 00:00 19:58:28.39 -32:38:38.0 HIP 98319 1.48
2026-08-17 12:00 19:58:25.54 -32:38:41.5 HIP 98319 2.01
2026-08-18 00:00 19:58:22.71 -32:38:44.8 HIP 98319 2.58
2026-08-18 12:00 19:58:19.89 -32:38:48.1 HIP 98319 3.15
2026-08-19 00:00 19:58:17.09 -32:38:51.2 HIP 98319 3.73