P/2014 X1 (Elenin)

Metadata

Parameter Value
Designation P/2014 X1 (Elenin)
Type P
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2015-01-07T17:47:02.883840Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2026-10-01T14:42:11Z
Obs used 631
NEO -
M1 15.500
K1 6.500
PC -
Osculating Elements
Parameter Value
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2015-02-01.0000000
e 0.71002560
q (au) 1.814883
a (au) 6.258771
i (deg) 25.971371
Ω (om, deg) 61.569126
ω (w, deg) 34.367902
M (ma, deg) 1.527015

Magnitude

P/2014 X1 (Elenin) · Magnitude (Full range)

Scatter + Global Linear

$$ M_a = (14.535 + 2.000\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

Model Parameters

Parameter Value
H0 14.535
n 2.000
gf 1.000
gb -0.500
k 1.000
δ90 10.000
Parameter Symbol Range Description
Absolute magnitude at 1 AU from Sun and Earth H0 -5 to 20 Intrinsic brightness of the comet
Photometric slope parameter n 2 to 6 Rate of brightness change with heliocentric distance
Forward scattering asymmetry factor gf 0.8 to 1 Degree of forward scattering
Backward scattering asymmetry factor gb -1 to -0.5 Degree of backward scattering
Partitioning coefficient k 0.8 to 1 Ratio between forward/backward scattering contributions
Dust-to-gas brightness ratio δ90 1 to 10 Relative contribution of dust scattering to gas emission

Reference: EPSC-DPS2025-160

Residuals (Piecewise)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

Start (UTC) End (UTC) a b
2014-09-04 2015-01-06 +19.0602 -4.445
2015-01-08 2016-03-15 +3.0066 -1.877

log10 r = log10(heliocentric distance / AU), Δ = geocentric distance (AU)

Ephemeris

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-09-25 00:00 19:54:34.16 -44:41:24.1 HIP 98022 25.25
2026-09-25 12:00 19:54:29.87 -44:40:24.1 HIP 98022 26.42
2026-09-26 00:00 19:54:25.74 -44:39:23.5 HIP 98022 27.59
2026-09-26 12:00 19:54:21.78 -44:38:22.5 HIP 98022 28.77
2026-09-27 00:00 19:54:17.98 -44:37:20.9 HIP 98022 29.95
2026-09-27 12:00 19:54:14.34 -44:36:18.8 HIP 98022 31.14
2026-09-28 00:00 19:54:10.87 -44:35:16.3 HIP 97873 32.06
2026-09-28 12:00 19:54:07.56 -44:34:13.2 HIP 97873 32.91
2026-09-29 00:00 19:54:04.41 -44:33:09.7 HIP 97873 33.80
2026-09-29 12:00 19:54:01.44 -44:32:05.6 HIP 97693 33.22
2026-09-30 00:00 19:53:58.62 -44:31:01.1 HIP 97693 32.31
2026-09-30 12:00 19:53:55.97 -44:29:56.1 HIP 97693 31.43
2026-10-01 00:00 19:53:53.48 -44:28:50.7 HIP 97693 30.61
2026-10-01 12:00 19:53:51.16 -44:27:44.8 HIP 97693 29.83
2026-10-02 00:00 19:53:49.01 -44:26:38.5 HIP 97693 29.10
2026-10-02 12:00 19:53:47.02 -44:25:31.7 HIP 97693 28.43
2026-10-03 00:00 19:53:45.19 -44:24:24.5 HIP 97693 27.82
2026-10-03 12:00 19:53:43.53 -44:23:16.9 HIP 97693 27.27
2026-10-04 00:00 19:53:42.04 -44:22:08.8 HIP 97693 26.79
2026-10-04 12:00 19:53:40.71 -44:21:00.4 HIP 97693 26.39
2026-10-05 00:00 19:53:39.54 -44:19:51.5 HIP 97693 26.05
2026-10-05 12:00 19:53:38.55 -44:18:42.2 HIP 98034 25.35
2026-10-06 00:00 19:53:37.71 -44:17:32.5 HIP 98034 24.65
2026-10-06 12:00 19:53:37.05 -44:16:22.5 HIP 98034 23.95
2026-10-07 00:00 19:53:36.54 -44:15:12.0 HIP 98034 23.27
2026-10-07 12:00 19:53:36.21 -44:14:01.2 HIP 98034 22.60
2026-10-08 00:00 19:53:36.04 -44:12:50.0 HIP 98034 21.95
2026-10-08 12:00 19:53:36.03 -44:11:38.4 HIP 98034 21.31
2026-10-09 00:00 19:53:36.19 -44:10:26.5 HIP 98034 20.70
2026-10-09 12:00 19:53:36.52 -44:09:14.3 HIP 98034 20.11
2026-10-10 00:00 19:53:37.01 -44:08:01.6 HIP 98034 19.54
2026-10-10 12:00 19:53:37.66 -44:06:48.7 HIP 98034 19.01
2026-10-11 00:00 19:53:38.48 -44:05:35.4 HIP 98034 18.51
2026-10-11 12:00 19:53:39.46 -44:04:21.8 HIP 98034 18.05
2026-10-12 00:00 19:53:40.61 -44:03:07.9 HIP 98034 17.63
2026-10-12 12:00 19:53:41.92 -44:01:53.7 HIP 98034 17.27
2026-10-13 00:00 19:53:43.39 -44:00:39.2 HIP 98034 16.96
2026-10-13 12:00 19:53:45.03 -43:59:24.3 HIP 97827 16.67
2026-10-14 00:00 19:53:46.83 -43:58:09.2 HIP 97827 15.95
2026-10-14 12:00 19:53:48.79 -43:56:53.8 HIP 97827 15.33
2026-10-15 00:00 19:53:50.91 -43:55:38.2 HIP 97827 14.81
2026-10-15 12:00 19:53:53.19 -43:54:22.2 HIP 97827 14.42
2026-10-16 00:00 19:53:55.64 -43:53:06.0 HIP 97827 14.17