P/2015 W2 (Catalina)

Metadata

Parameter Value
Designation P/2015 W2 (Catalina)
Type P
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2015-09-30T21:23:50.429760Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2021-04-15T23:33:17Z
Obs used 188
NEO -
M1 8.800
K1 21.250
PC 0.030
Osculating Elements
Parameter Value
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2015-12-05.0000000
e 0.63410542
q (au) 2.678336
a (au) 7.319966
i (deg) 11.611215
Ω (om, deg) 294.247294
ω (w, deg) 117.626508
M (ma, deg) 3.240245

Magnitude

P/2015 W2 (Catalina) · Magnitude (Full range)

Scatter + Global Linear

$$ M_a = (18.559 + 2.000\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

Model Parameters

Parameter Value
H0 18.559
n 2.000
gf 0.996
gb -0.724
k 0.800
δ90 10.000
Parameter Symbol Range Description
Absolute magnitude at 1 AU from Sun and Earth H0 -5 to 20 Intrinsic brightness of the comet
Photometric slope parameter n 2 to 6 Rate of brightness change with heliocentric distance
Forward scattering asymmetry factor gf 0.8 to 1 Degree of forward scattering
Backward scattering asymmetry factor gb -1 to -0.5 Degree of backward scattering
Partitioning coefficient k 0.8 to 1 Ratio between forward/backward scattering contributions
Dust-to-gas brightness ratio δ90 1 to 10 Relative contribution of dust scattering to gas emission

Reference: EPSC-DPS2025-160

Ephemeris

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-07-29 00:00 15:09:22.02 -28:06:01.2 HIP 74149 16.20
2026-07-29 12:00 15:09:21.41 -28:05:29.8 HIP 74149 16.67
2026-07-30 00:00 15:09:20.89 -28:04:58.8 HIP 74149 17.15
2026-07-30 12:00 15:09:20.46 -28:04:28.1 HIP 74149 17.64
2026-07-31 00:00 15:09:20.12 -28:03:57.7 HIP 74149 18.12
2026-07-31 12:00 15:09:19.88 -28:03:27.7 HIP 74149 18.60
2026-08-01 00:00 15:09:19.72 -28:02:57.9 HIP 74149 19.08
2026-08-01 12:00 15:09:19.66 -28:02:28.5 HIP 74149 19.56
2026-08-02 00:00 15:09:19.68 -28:01:59.4 HIP 74149 20.04
2026-08-02 12:00 15:09:19.80 -28:01:30.7 HIP 74149 20.52
2026-08-03 00:00 15:09:20.00 -28:01:02.2 HIP 74149 20.99
2026-08-03 12:00 15:09:20.30 -28:00:34.1 HIP 74149 21.47
2026-08-04 00:00 15:09:20.69 -28:00:06.4 HIP 74149 21.94
2026-08-04 12:00 15:09:21.17 -27:59:38.9 HIP 74149 22.41
2026-08-05 00:00 15:09:21.74 -27:59:11.9 HIP 74149 22.87
2026-08-05 12:00 15:09:22.40 -27:58:45.1 HIP 74149 23.34
2026-08-06 00:00 15:09:23.16 -27:58:18.7 HIP 74149 23.80
2026-08-06 12:00 15:09:24.00 -27:57:52.6 HIP 74149 24.26
2026-08-07 00:00 15:09:24.93 -27:57:26.9 HIP 74149 24.72
2026-08-07 12:00 15:09:25.96 -27:57:01.6 HIP 74149 25.17
2026-08-08 00:00 15:09:27.07 -27:56:36.5 HIP 74149 25.63
2026-08-08 12:00 15:09:28.28 -27:56:11.9 HIP 74149 26.08
2026-08-09 00:00 15:09:29.57 -27:55:47.6 HIP 74149 26.54
2026-08-09 12:00 15:09:30.96 -27:55:23.6 HIP 74149 26.99
2026-08-10 00:00 15:09:32.44 -27:55:00.0 HIP 74149 27.45
2026-08-10 12:00 15:09:34.00 -27:54:36.7 HIP 74149 27.91
2026-08-11 00:00 15:09:35.66 -27:54:13.8 HIP 74149 28.36
2026-08-11 12:00 15:09:37.41 -27:53:51.3 HIP 74149 28.82
2026-08-12 00:00 15:09:39.24 -27:53:29.1 HIP 74149 29.28
2026-08-12 12:00 15:09:41.17 -27:53:07.3 HIP 74149 29.75
2026-08-13 00:00 15:09:43.18 -27:52:45.9 HIP 74149 30.21
2026-08-13 12:00 15:09:45.29 -27:52:24.8 HIP 74149 30.68
2026-08-14 00:00 15:09:47.48 -27:52:04.1 HIP 74149 31.16
2026-08-14 12:00 15:09:49.77 -27:51:43.7 HIP 74318 31.57
2026-08-15 00:00 15:09:52.14 -27:51:23.7 HIP 74318 30.97
2026-08-15 12:00 15:09:54.60 -27:51:04.1 HIP 74318 30.37
2026-08-16 00:00 15:09:57.15 -27:50:44.9 HIP 74318 29.76
2026-08-16 12:00 15:09:59.79 -27:50:26.0 HIP 74318 29.14
2026-08-17 00:00 15:10:02.51 -27:50:07.5 HIP 74318 28.52
2026-08-17 12:00 15:10:05.32 -27:49:49.3 HIP 74318 27.89
2026-08-18 00:00 15:10:08.22 -27:49:31.6 HIP 74318 27.26
2026-08-18 12:00 15:10:11.21 -27:49:14.2 HIP 74318 26.62
2026-08-19 00:00 15:10:14.28 -27:48:57.1 HIP 74318 25.99