C/2015 X2 (Catalina)

メタデータ

項目 値
Designation C/2015 X2 (Catalina)
Type C
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2015-12-20T17:13:10.505280Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2021-04-15T23:33:18Z
Obs used 43
NEO -
M1 16.100
K1 10.000
PC -
オスキュレーティング軌道要素
項目 値
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2015-12-12.0000000
e 0.87907924
q (au) 1.904555
a (au) 15.750441
i (deg) 72.458476
Ω (om, deg) 101.094124
ω (w, deg) 42.018183
M (ma, deg) 359.862546

等級

C/2015 X2 (Catalina) · Magnitude (Full range)

散乱 + 全体線形

$$ M_a = (18.961 + 2.000\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

モデル定数

項目 値
H0 18.961
n 2.000
gf 1.000
gb -1.000
k 0.800
δ90 10.000
パラメータ 記号 範囲 説明
太陽・地球距離が1 AUのときの絶対等級 H0 -5 to 20 彗星の固有の明るさ
測光スロープパラメータ n 2 to 6 太陽距離に対する明るさ変化率
前方散乱非対称係数 gf 0.8 to 1 前方散乱の強さ
後方散乱非対称係数 gb -1 to -0.5 後方散乱の強さ
分配係数 k 0.8 to 1 前方/後方散乱の寄与比
ダスト/ガス明るさ比 δ90 1 to 10 ダスト散乱とガス放射の相対寄与

参考: EPSC-DPS2025-160

天体暦

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-09-20 00:00 19:18:50.02 -43:27:51.9 HIP 94953 22.18
2026-09-20 12:00 19:18:47.63 -43:27:33.0 HIP 94953 21.98
2026-09-21 00:00 19:18:45.30 -43:27:13.9 HIP 94953 21.79
2026-09-21 12:00 19:18:43.04 -43:26:54.6 HIP 94953 21.61
2026-09-22 00:00 19:18:40.85 -43:26:35.2 HIP 94953 21.42
2026-09-22 12:00 19:18:38.72 -43:26:15.5 HIP 94953 21.25
2026-09-23 00:00 19:18:36.67 -43:25:55.8 HIP 94953 21.07
2026-09-23 12:00 19:18:34.67 -43:25:35.9 HIP 94953 20.90
2026-09-24 00:00 19:18:32.75 -43:25:15.8 HIP 94953 20.74
2026-09-24 12:00 19:18:30.89 -43:24:55.5 HIP 94953 20.57
2026-09-25 00:00 19:18:29.10 -43:24:35.1 HIP 94953 20.41
2026-09-25 12:00 19:18:27.38 -43:24:14.6 HIP 94953 20.25
2026-09-26 00:00 19:18:25.72 -43:23:53.9 HIP 94953 20.09
2026-09-26 12:00 19:18:24.14 -43:23:33.1 HIP 94953 19.93
2026-09-27 00:00 19:18:22.62 -43:23:12.1 HIP 94953 19.77
2026-09-27 12:00 19:18:21.16 -43:22:51.0 HIP 94953 19.61
2026-09-28 00:00 19:18:19.78 -43:22:29.8 HIP 94953 19.46
2026-09-28 12:00 19:18:18.46 -43:22:08.4 HIP 94953 19.30
2026-09-29 00:00 19:18:17.21 -43:21:46.9 HIP 94953 19.14
2026-09-29 12:00 19:18:16.03 -43:21:25.2 HIP 94953 18.98
2026-09-30 00:00 19:18:14.92 -43:21:03.4 HIP 94953 18.82
2026-09-30 12:00 19:18:13.87 -43:20:41.5 HIP 94953 18.65
2026-10-01 00:00 19:18:12.89 -43:20:19.5 HIP 94953 18.49
2026-10-01 12:00 19:18:11.98 -43:19:57.4 HIP 94953 18.32
2026-10-02 00:00 19:18:11.14 -43:19:35.1 HIP 94953 18.15
2026-10-02 12:00 19:18:10.37 -43:19:12.7 HIP 94953 17.98
2026-10-03 00:00 19:18:09.66 -43:18:50.2 HIP 94953 17.81
2026-10-03 12:00 19:18:09.02 -43:18:27.6 HIP 94953 17.63
2026-10-04 00:00 19:18:08.45 -43:18:04.9 HIP 94953 17.45
2026-10-04 12:00 19:18:07.95 -43:17:42.0 HIP 94953 17.26
2026-10-05 00:00 19:18:07.52 -43:17:19.1 HIP 94953 17.07
2026-10-05 12:00 19:18:07.16 -43:16:56.0 HIP 94953 16.88
2026-10-06 00:00 19:18:06.86 -43:16:32.9 HIP 94953 16.68
2026-10-06 12:00 19:18:06.63 -43:16:09.6 HIP 94953 16.48
2026-10-07 00:00 19:18:06.47 -43:15:46.3 HIP 94953 16.28
2026-10-07 12:00 19:18:06.38 -43:15:22.9 HIP 94953 16.07
2026-10-08 00:00 19:18:06.36 -43:14:59.3 HIP 94953 15.86
2026-10-08 12:00 19:18:06.40 -43:14:35.7 HIP 94953 15.64
2026-10-09 00:00 19:18:06.52 -43:14:12.0 HIP 94953 15.42
2026-10-09 12:00 19:18:06.70 -43:13:48.2 HIP 94953 15.19
2026-10-10 00:00 19:18:06.95 -43:13:24.3 HIP 94953 14.96
2026-10-10 12:00 19:18:07.27 -43:13:00.4 HIP 94953 14.72
2026-10-11 00:00 19:18:07.65 -43:12:36.3 HIP 94953 14.48