C/2014 W2 (PANSTARRS)

메타데이터

항목 값
Designation C/2014 W2 (PANSTARRS)
Type C
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2016-03-10T11:35:51.728640Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2021-04-15T23:33:03Z
Obs used 3410
NEO -
M1 8.100
K1 8.750
PC 0.030
Osculating 궤도요소
항목 값
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2016-02-17.0000000
e 0.99831735
q (au) 2.670189
a (au) 1586.896022
i (deg) 81.998562
Ω (om, deg) 69.962778
ω (w, deg) 85.009454
M (ma, deg) 359.999649

밝기

C/2014 W2 (PANSTARRS) · Magnitude (Full range)

산란 + 전체 선형

$$ M_a = (8.719 + 2.968\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

모델 상수

항목 값
H0 8.719
n 2.968
gf 1.000
gb -0.730
k 0.994
δ90 10.000
파라미터 기호 범위 설명
태양·지구거리 1 AU에서의 절대등급 H0 -5 to 20 혜성의 고유 밝기
광도 기울기 파라미터 n 2 to 6 태양거리 변화에 따른 밝기 변화율
전방 산란 비대칭 계수 gf 0.8 to 1 전방 산란의 강도
후방 산란 비대칭 계수 gb -1 to -0.5 후방 산란의 강도
분할 계수 k 0.8 to 1 전·후방 산란 기여도 비율
먼지/가스 밝기 비 δ90 1 to 10 코마에서 먼지 산란 대비 가스 방출의 상대 기여

참고: EPSC-DPS2025-160

잔차 (구간 선형)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

시작일 (UTC) 끝 (UTC) a b
2014-10-24 2015-09-28 +2.5743 -1.749
2015-09-28 2016-03-10 +6.8475 -3.627
2016-03-10 2016-10-09 +7.6354 -3.819
2016-10-09 2017-09-11 -0.5717 +0.375

log10 r = log10(태양거리/AU), Δ = 지구거리(AU)

천체력

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-09-20 00:00 16:05:34.11 -67:48:16.8 HIP 78896 13.80
2026-09-20 12:00 16:05:39.23 -67:47:40.0 HIP 78896 13.06
2026-09-21 00:00 16:05:44.45 -67:47:03.4 HIP 78896 12.34
2026-09-21 12:00 16:05:49.75 -67:46:27.1 HIP 78896 11.62
2026-09-22 00:00 16:05:55.14 -67:45:51.1 HIP 78896 10.91
2026-09-22 12:00 16:06:00.62 -67:45:15.3 HIP 78896 10.22
2026-09-23 00:00 16:06:06.18 -67:44:39.8 HIP 78896 9.55
2026-09-23 12:00 16:06:11.83 -67:44:04.6 HIP 78896 8.90
2026-09-24 00:00 16:06:17.57 -67:43:29.7 HIP 78896 8.28
2026-09-24 12:00 16:06:23.39 -67:42:55.1 HIP 78896 7.70
2026-09-25 00:00 16:06:29.30 -67:42:20.7 HIP 78896 7.16
2026-09-25 12:00 16:06:35.29 -67:41:46.7 HIP 78896 6.69
2026-09-26 00:00 16:06:41.37 -67:41:12.9 HIP 78896 6.29
2026-09-26 12:00 16:06:47.53 -67:40:39.4 HIP 78896 5.98
2026-09-27 00:00 16:06:53.77 -67:40:06.3 HIP 78896 5.78
2026-09-27 12:00 16:07:00.10 -67:39:33.4 HIP 78896 5.70
2026-09-28 00:00 16:07:06.50 -67:39:00.8 HIP 78896 5.74
2026-09-28 12:00 16:07:12.99 -67:38:28.5 HIP 78896 5.91
2026-09-29 00:00 16:07:19.56 -67:37:56.5 HIP 78896 6.19
2026-09-29 12:00 16:07:26.21 -67:37:24.8 HIP 78896 6.57
2026-09-30 00:00 16:07:32.94 -67:36:53.4 HIP 78896 7.04
2026-09-30 12:00 16:07:39.75 -67:36:22.4 HIP 78896 7.57
2026-10-01 00:00 16:07:46.63 -67:35:51.6 HIP 78896 8.17
2026-10-01 12:00 16:07:53.60 -67:35:21.1 HIP 78896 8.81
2026-10-02 00:00 16:08:00.65 -67:34:51.0 HIP 78896 9.49
2026-10-02 12:00 16:08:07.77 -67:34:21.2 HIP 78896 10.20
2026-10-03 00:00 16:08:14.97 -67:33:51.6 HIP 78896 10.94
2026-10-03 12:00 16:08:22.24 -67:33:22.5 HIP 78896 11.69
2026-10-04 00:00 16:08:29.60 -67:32:53.6 HIP 78896 12.47
2026-10-04 12:00 16:08:37.02 -67:32:25.0 HIP 79076 13.09
2026-10-05 00:00 16:08:44.53 -67:31:56.8 HIP 79076 12.67
2026-10-05 12:00 16:08:52.10 -67:31:28.9 HIP 79076 12.30
2026-10-06 00:00 16:08:59.76 -67:31:01.3 HIP 79076 11.99
2026-10-06 12:00 16:09:07.48 -67:30:34.1 HIP 79076 11.74
2026-10-07 00:00 16:09:15.28 -67:30:07.2 HIP 79076 11.56
2026-10-07 12:00 16:09:23.15 -67:29:40.6 HIP 79076 11.45
2026-10-08 00:00 16:09:31.10 -67:29:14.4 HIP 79076 11.42
2026-10-08 12:00 16:09:39.11 -67:28:48.5 HIP 79076 11.46
2026-10-09 00:00 16:09:47.20 -67:28:22.9 HIP 79076 11.58
2026-10-09 12:00 16:09:55.35 -67:27:57.7 HIP 79076 11.77
2026-10-10 00:00 16:10:03.58 -67:27:32.8 HIP 79076 12.04
2026-10-10 12:00 16:10:11.87 -67:27:08.3 HIP 79076 12.37
2026-10-11 00:00 16:10:20.23 -67:26:44.1 HIP 79076 12.77