P/2015 M2 (PANSTARRS)

메타데이터

항목 값
Designation P/2015 M2 (PANSTARRS)
Type P
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2015-08-31T03:13:30.483840Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2021-04-15T23:33:13Z
Obs used 152
NEO -
M1 7.000
K1 11.750
PC 0.030
Osculating 궤도요소
항목 값
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2016-01-31.0000000
e 0.17907655
q (au) 5.912783
a (au) 7.202599
i (deg) 3.973865
Ω (om, deg) 86.611339
ω (w, deg) 224.786932
M (ma, deg) 7.794352

밝기

P/2015 M2 (PANSTARRS) · Magnitude (Full range)

산란 + 전체 선형

$$ M_a = (8.209 + 6.000\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

모델 상수

항목 값
H0 8.209
n 6.000
gf 1.000
gb -0.779
k 0.800
δ90 9.999
파라미터 기호 범위 설명
태양·지구거리 1 AU에서의 절대등급 H0 -5 to 20 혜성의 고유 밝기
광도 기울기 파라미터 n 2 to 6 태양거리 변화에 따른 밝기 변화율
전방 산란 비대칭 계수 gf 0.8 to 1 전방 산란의 강도
후방 산란 비대칭 계수 gb -1 to -0.5 후방 산란의 강도
분할 계수 k 0.8 to 1 전·후방 산란 기여도 비율
먼지/가스 밝기 비 δ90 1 to 10 코마에서 먼지 산란 대비 가스 방출의 상대 기여

참고: EPSC-DPS2025-160

천체력

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-09-20 00:00 10:21:03.92 +13:41:58.7 HIP 50884 36.51
2026-09-20 12:00 10:21:18.75 +13:40:41.5 HIP 50884 33.65
2026-09-21 00:00 10:21:33.54 +13:39:24.6 HIP 50884 31.00
2026-09-21 12:00 10:21:48.30 +13:38:07.8 HIP 50884 28.61
2026-09-22 00:00 10:22:03.02 +13:36:51.3 HIP 50884 26.57
2026-09-22 12:00 10:22:17.71 +13:35:35.0 HIP 50884 24.94
2026-09-23 00:00 10:22:32.37 +13:34:18.9 HIP 50884 23.80
2026-09-23 12:00 10:22:46.99 +13:33:03.0 HIP 50884 23.24
2026-09-24 00:00 10:23:01.57 +13:31:47.4 HIP 50884 23.27
2026-09-24 12:00 10:23:16.12 +13:30:32.0 HIP 50884 23.90
2026-09-25 00:00 10:23:30.63 +13:29:16.8 HIP 50884 25.08
2026-09-25 12:00 10:23:45.11 +13:28:01.9 HIP 50884 26.72
2026-09-26 00:00 10:23:59.54 +13:26:47.2 HIP 50884 28.76
2026-09-26 12:00 10:24:13.94 +13:25:32.7 HIP 50884 31.10
2026-09-27 00:00 10:24:28.30 +13:24:18.5 HIP 51070 28.13
2026-09-27 12:00 10:24:42.62 +13:23:04.6 HIP 51070 24.54
2026-09-28 00:00 10:24:56.90 +13:21:50.9 HIP 51070 21.00
2026-09-28 12:00 10:25:11.15 +13:20:37.4 HIP 51070 17.54
2026-09-29 00:00 10:25:25.35 +13:19:24.2 HIP 51070 14.19
2026-09-29 12:00 10:25:39.50 +13:18:11.3 HIP 51070 11.05
2026-09-30 00:00 10:25:53.62 +13:16:58.7 HIP 51070 8.35
2026-09-30 12:00 10:26:07.70 +13:15:46.3 HIP 51070 6.62
2026-10-01 00:00 10:26:21.73 +13:14:34.2 HIP 51070 6.66
2026-10-01 12:00 10:26:35.72 +13:13:22.3 HIP 51070 8.43
2026-10-02 00:00 10:26:49.66 +13:12:10.8 HIP 51070 11.12
2026-10-02 12:00 10:27:03.56 +13:10:59.5 HIP 51070 14.20
2026-10-03 00:00 10:27:17.42 +13:09:48.6 HIP 51208 11.80
2026-10-03 12:00 10:27:31.23 +13:08:37.9 HIP 51208 9.86
2026-10-04 00:00 10:27:44.99 +13:07:27.5 HIP 51208 8.98
2026-10-04 12:00 10:27:58.71 +13:06:17.4 HIP 51208 9.44
2026-10-05 00:00 10:28:12.37 +13:05:07.6 HIP 51208 11.07
2026-10-05 12:00 10:28:25.99 +13:03:58.2 HIP 51208 13.44
2026-10-06 00:00 10:28:39.57 +13:02:49.0 HIP 51295 14.53
2026-10-06 12:00 10:28:53.09 +13:01:40.2 HIP 51295 15.87
2026-10-07 00:00 10:29:06.56 +13:00:31.7 HIP 51295 17.80
2026-10-07 12:00 10:29:19.98 +12:59:23.5 HIP 51295 20.13
2026-10-08 00:00 10:29:33.35 +12:58:15.6 HIP 51295 22.74
2026-10-08 12:00 10:29:46.67 +12:57:08.1 HIP 51295 25.53
2026-10-09 00:00 10:29:59.94 +12:56:01.0 HIP 51295 28.46
2026-10-09 12:00 10:30:13.15 +12:54:54.1 HIP 51590 30.17
2026-10-10 00:00 10:30:26.31 +12:53:47.6 HIP 51590 27.00
2026-10-10 12:00 10:30:39.42 +12:52:41.5 HIP 51590 23.90
2026-10-11 00:00 10:30:52.47 +12:51:35.7 HIP 51590 20.90