C/2015 X5 (PANSTARRS)

메타데이터

항목 값
Designation C/2015 X5 (PANSTARRS)
Type C
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2017-12-31T00:50:40.139520Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2021-04-15T23:33:20Z
Obs used 227
NEO -
M1 6.600
K1 10.500
PC 0.030
Osculating 궤도요소
항목 값
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2017-07-11.0000000
e 1.00304318
q (au) 6.801746
a (au) -2235.080422
i (deg) 124.284533
Ω (om, deg) 122.311473
ω (w, deg) 27.750506
M (ma, deg) -0.001614

밝기

C/2015 X5 (PANSTARRS) · Magnitude (Full range)

산란 + 전체 선형

$$ M_a = (6.073 + 3.992\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

모델 상수

항목 값
H0 6.073
n 3.992
gf 0.977
gb -0.739
k 1.000
δ90 9.974
파라미터 기호 범위 설명
태양·지구거리 1 AU에서의 절대등급 H0 -5 to 20 혜성의 고유 밝기
광도 기울기 파라미터 n 2 to 6 태양거리 변화에 따른 밝기 변화율
전방 산란 비대칭 계수 gf 0.8 to 1 전방 산란의 강도
후방 산란 비대칭 계수 gb -1 to -0.5 후방 산란의 강도
분할 계수 k 0.8 to 1 전·후방 산란 기여도 비율
먼지/가스 밝기 비 δ90 1 to 10 코마에서 먼지 산란 대비 가스 방출의 상대 기여

참고: EPSC-DPS2025-160

잔차 (구간 선형)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

시작일 (UTC) 끝 (UTC) a b
2015-12-06 2017-12-23 +1.9144 -1.449
2018-01-05 2020-02-14 -8.6346 +7.072

log10 r = log10(태양거리/AU), Δ = 지구거리(AU)

천체력

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-09-20 00:00 21:15:01.93 +23:43:22.7 HIP 104949 14.65
2026-09-20 12:00 21:14:56.57 +23:42:08.6 HIP 104949 14.24
2026-09-21 00:00 21:14:51.25 +23:40:54.2 HIP 104949 14.03
2026-09-21 12:00 21:14:45.97 +23:39:39.6 HIP 104949 14.03
2026-09-22 00:00 21:14:40.74 +23:38:24.7 HIP 104949 14.23
2026-09-22 12:00 21:14:35.55 +23:37:09.7 HIP 104949 14.63
2026-09-23 00:00 21:14:30.40 +23:35:54.4 HIP 104949 15.20
2026-09-23 12:00 21:14:25.29 +23:34:38.9 HIP 104949 15.92
2026-09-24 00:00 21:14:20.23 +23:33:23.2 HIP 104949 16.79
2026-09-24 12:00 21:14:15.21 +23:32:07.3 HIP 104949 17.76
2026-09-25 00:00 21:14:10.24 +23:30:51.2 HIP 104949 18.83
2026-09-25 12:00 21:14:05.31 +23:29:34.9 HIP 104949 19.98
2026-09-26 00:00 21:14:00.43 +23:28:18.5 HIP 104949 21.19
2026-09-26 12:00 21:13:55.59 +23:27:01.8 HIP 104949 22.46
2026-09-27 00:00 21:13:50.80 +23:25:45.0 HIP 104949 23.77
2026-09-27 12:00 21:13:46.06 +23:24:28.0 HIP 104949 25.12
2026-09-28 00:00 21:13:41.36 +23:23:10.9 HIP 104949 26.49
2026-09-28 12:00 21:13:36.71 +23:21:53.6 HIP 104949 27.89
2026-09-29 00:00 21:13:32.10 +23:20:36.1 HIP 104648 27.35
2026-09-29 12:00 21:13:27.55 +23:19:18.5 HIP 104648 25.75
2026-09-30 00:00 21:13:23.04 +23:18:00.8 HIP 104648 24.17
2026-09-30 12:00 21:13:18.57 +23:16:42.9 HIP 104648 22.62
2026-10-01 00:00 21:13:14.16 +23:15:24.8 HIP 104648 21.08
2026-10-01 12:00 21:13:09.79 +23:14:06.7 HIP 104648 19.57
2026-10-02 00:00 21:13:05.48 +23:12:48.4 HIP 104648 18.09
2026-10-02 12:00 21:13:01.21 +23:11:30.0 HIP 104648 16.65
2026-10-03 00:00 21:12:56.99 +23:10:11.5 HIP 104648 15.26
2026-10-03 12:00 21:12:52.82 +23:08:52.9 HIP 104648 13.93
2026-10-04 00:00 21:12:48.70 +23:07:34.1 HIP 104648 12.68
2026-10-04 12:00 21:12:44.63 +23:06:15.3 HIP 104648 11.54
2026-10-05 00:00 21:12:40.61 +23:04:56.4 HIP 104648 10.53
2026-10-05 12:00 21:12:36.64 +23:03:37.4 HIP 104648 9.69
2026-10-06 00:00 21:12:32.72 +23:02:18.3 HIP 104648 9.08
2026-10-06 12:00 21:12:28.86 +23:00:59.1 HIP 104648 8.72
2026-10-07 00:00 21:12:25.04 +22:59:39.9 HIP 104648 8.66
2026-10-07 12:00 21:12:21.28 +22:58:20.6 HIP 104648 8.90
2026-10-08 00:00 21:12:17.57 +22:57:01.2 HIP 104648 9.41
2026-10-08 12:00 21:12:13.91 +22:55:41.8 HIP 104648 10.14
2026-10-09 00:00 21:12:10.30 +22:54:22.4 HIP 104648 11.05
2026-10-09 12:00 21:12:06.75 +22:53:02.9 HIP 104648 12.10
2026-10-10 00:00 21:12:03.25 +22:51:43.4 HIP 104648 13.26
2026-10-10 12:00 21:11:59.80 +22:50:23.8 HIP 104648 14.49
2026-10-11 00:00 21:11:56.40 +22:49:04.2 HIP 104648 15.77