12P/Pons-Brooks

Metadata

Parameter Value
Designation 12P/Pons-Brooks
Type P
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2024-04-21T03:08:52.180800Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2026-01-08T08:25:35Z
Obs used 8059
NEO Yes
M1 5.000
K1 15.000
PC -
Osculating Elements
Parameter Value
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2023-09-24.0000000
e 0.95456124
q (au) 0.780861
a (au) 17.184915
i (deg) 74.190910
Ω (om, deg) 255.855351
ω (w, deg) 198.987999
M (ma, deg) 357.092810

Magnitude

12P/Pons-Brooks · Magnitude (Full range)

Scatter + Global Linear

$$ M_a = (5.193 + 6.000\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

Model Parameters

Parameter Value
H0 5.193
n 6.000
gf 1.000
gb -0.880
k 0.991
δ90 10.000
Parameter Symbol Range Description
Absolute magnitude at 1 AU from Sun and Earth H0 -5 to 20 Intrinsic brightness of the comet
Photometric slope parameter n 2 to 6 Rate of brightness change with heliocentric distance
Forward scattering asymmetry factor gf 0.8 to 1 Degree of forward scattering
Backward scattering asymmetry factor gb -1 to -0.5 Degree of backward scattering
Partitioning coefficient k 0.8 to 1 Ratio between forward/backward scattering contributions
Dust-to-gas brightness ratio δ90 1 to 10 Relative contribution of dust scattering to gas emission

Reference: EPSC-DPS2025-160

Residuals (Piecewise)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

Start (UTC) End (UTC) a b
2020-06-10 2023-07-20 +7.5133 -5.467
2023-07-20 2023-08-30 -32.4269 +17.092
2023-08-30 2023-12-18 +0.8594 -0.954
2023-12-18 2024-04-20 -0.0616 +0.065
2024-04-21 2024-06-16 +0.4640 -0.450
2024-06-16 2024-10-11 -8.2592 +0.843
2024-10-11 2025-06-07 +15.5927 -9.537

log10 r = log10(heliocentric distance / AU), Δ = geocentric distance (AU)

Ephemeris

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-07-29 00:00 16:08:34.29 -33:30:53.7 HIP 79189 14.27
2026-07-29 12:00 16:08:28.11 -33:29:23.8 HIP 79189 15.48
2026-07-30 00:00 16:08:22.09 -33:27:54.2 HIP 79189 16.80
2026-07-30 12:00 16:08:16.22 -33:26:24.9 HIP 79189 18.20
2026-07-31 00:00 16:08:10.49 -33:24:56.0 HIP 79189 19.66
2026-07-31 12:00 16:08:04.92 -33:23:27.4 HIP 79189 21.16
2026-08-01 00:00 16:07:59.49 -33:21:59.1 HIP 78973 22.35
2026-08-01 12:00 16:07:54.21 -33:20:31.2 HIP 78973 23.32
2026-08-02 00:00 16:07:49.08 -33:19:03.7 HIP 78973 24.39
2026-08-02 12:00 16:07:44.10 -33:17:36.6 HIP 78973 25.54
2026-08-03 00:00 16:07:39.27 -33:16:09.8 HIP 78973 26.76
2026-08-03 12:00 16:07:34.58 -33:14:43.4 HIP 78973 28.04
2026-08-04 00:00 16:07:30.04 -33:13:17.3 HIP 78973 29.36
2026-08-04 12:00 16:07:25.65 -33:11:51.7 HIP 78842 30.03
2026-08-05 00:00 16:07:21.41 -33:10:26.4 HIP 78842 28.42
2026-08-05 12:00 16:07:17.32 -33:09:01.5 HIP 78842 26.85
2026-08-06 00:00 16:07:13.37 -33:07:37.0 HIP 78842 25.32
2026-08-06 12:00 16:07:09.57 -33:06:13.0 HIP 78842 23.83
2026-08-07 00:00 16:07:05.92 -33:04:49.3 HIP 78842 22.38
2026-08-07 12:00 16:07:02.41 -33:03:26.0 HIP 78842 20.99
2026-08-08 00:00 16:06:59.05 -33:02:03.2 HIP 78842 19.65
2026-08-08 12:00 16:06:55.84 -33:00:40.7 HIP 78842 18.37
2026-08-09 00:00 16:06:52.77 -32:59:18.7 HIP 78842 17.17
2026-08-09 12:00 16:06:49.85 -32:57:57.1 HIP 78842 16.05
2026-08-10 00:00 16:06:47.07 -32:56:36.0 HIP 78842 15.02
2026-08-10 12:00 16:06:44.44 -32:55:15.2 HIP 78842 14.10
2026-08-11 00:00 16:06:41.96 -32:53:54.9 HIP 78842 13.31
2026-08-11 12:00 16:06:39.62 -32:52:35.1 HIP 78842 12.67
2026-08-12 00:00 16:06:37.43 -32:51:15.7 HIP 78842 12.19
2026-08-12 12:00 16:06:35.38 -32:49:56.7 HIP 78842 11.89
2026-08-13 00:00 16:06:33.48 -32:48:38.2 HIP 78842 11.76
2026-08-13 12:00 16:06:31.71 -32:47:20.2 HIP 78842 11.82
2026-08-14 00:00 16:06:30.10 -32:46:02.6 HIP 78842 12.06
2026-08-14 12:00 16:06:28.62 -32:44:45.4 HIP 78842 12.46
2026-08-15 00:00 16:06:27.29 -32:43:28.7 HIP 78842 13.00
2026-08-15 12:00 16:06:26.10 -32:42:12.5 HIP 78842 13.66
2026-08-16 00:00 16:06:25.05 -32:40:56.8 HIP 78842 14.42
2026-08-16 12:00 16:06:24.15 -32:39:41.5 HIP 78842 15.26
2026-08-17 00:00 16:06:23.38 -32:38:26.7 HIP 78842 16.17
2026-08-17 12:00 16:06:22.76 -32:37:12.4 HIP 78842 17.13
2026-08-18 00:00 16:06:22.27 -32:35:58.5 HIP 78842 18.13
2026-08-18 12:00 16:06:21.93 -32:34:45.1 HIP 78842 19.17
2026-08-19 00:00 16:06:21.72 -32:33:32.2 HIP 78842 20.23