12P/Pons-Brooks

メタデータ

項目 値
Designation 12P/Pons-Brooks
Type P
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2024-04-21T03:08:52.180800Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2026-01-08T08:25:35Z
Obs used 8059
NEO Yes
M1 5.000
K1 15.000
PC -
オスキュレーティング軌道要素
項目 値
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2023-09-24.0000000
e 0.95456124
q (au) 0.780861
a (au) 17.184915
i (deg) 74.190910
Ω (om, deg) 255.855351
ω (w, deg) 198.987999
M (ma, deg) 357.092810

等級

12P/Pons-Brooks · Magnitude (Full range)

散乱 + 全体線形

$$ M_a = (5.193 + 6.000\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

モデル定数

項目 値
H0 5.193
n 6.000
gf 1.000
gb -0.880
k 0.991
δ90 10.000
パラメータ 記号 範囲 説明
太陽・地球距離が1 AUのときの絶対等級 H0 -5 to 20 彗星の固有の明るさ
測光スロープパラメータ n 2 to 6 太陽距離に対する明るさ変化率
前方散乱非対称係数 gf 0.8 to 1 前方散乱の強さ
後方散乱非対称係数 gb -1 to -0.5 後方散乱の強さ
分配係数 k 0.8 to 1 前方/後方散乱の寄与比
ダスト/ガス明るさ比 δ90 1 to 10 ダスト散乱とガス放射の相対寄与

参考: EPSC-DPS2025-160

残差 (区間線形)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

開始日 (UTC) 終了日 (UTC) a b
2020-06-10 2023-07-20 +7.5133 -5.467
2023-07-20 2023-08-30 -32.4269 +17.092
2023-08-30 2023-12-18 +0.8594 -0.954
2023-12-18 2024-04-20 -0.0616 +0.065
2024-04-21 2024-06-16 +0.4640 -0.450
2024-06-16 2024-10-11 -8.2592 +0.843
2024-10-11 2025-06-07 +15.5927 -9.537

log10 r = log10(太陽距離/AU)、Δ = 地球距離(AU)

天体暦

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-09-20 00:00 16:10:30.26 -31:32:52.3 HIP 79198 8.84
2026-09-20 12:00 16:10:37.80 -31:32:11.3 HIP 79198 10.59
2026-09-21 00:00 16:10:45.44 -31:31:30.8 HIP 79198 12.35
2026-09-21 12:00 16:10:53.17 -31:30:50.7 HIP 79198 14.13
2026-09-22 00:00 16:11:01.00 -31:30:11.0 HIP 79198 15.92
2026-09-22 12:00 16:11:08.92 -31:29:31.9 HIP 79198 17.74
2026-09-23 00:00 16:11:16.94 -31:28:53.2 HIP 79198 19.56
2026-09-23 12:00 16:11:25.06 -31:28:14.9 HIP 79198 21.40
2026-09-24 00:00 16:11:33.26 -31:27:37.1 HIP 79198 23.26
2026-09-24 12:00 16:11:41.56 -31:26:59.8 HIP 79198 25.14
2026-09-25 00:00 16:11:49.95 -31:26:22.9 HIP 79198 27.03
2026-09-25 12:00 16:11:58.43 -31:25:46.4 HIP 79201 28.88
2026-09-26 00:00 16:12:07.00 -31:25:10.4 HIP 79201 30.36
2026-09-26 12:00 16:12:15.66 -31:24:34.8 HIP 79578 29.08
2026-09-27 00:00 16:12:24.41 -31:23:59.7 HIP 79578 27.83
2026-09-27 12:00 16:12:33.24 -31:23:25.0 HIP 79578 26.66
2026-09-28 00:00 16:12:42.17 -31:22:50.7 HIP 79578 25.56
2026-09-28 12:00 16:12:51.18 -31:22:16.9 HIP 79578 24.55
2026-09-29 00:00 16:13:00.28 -31:21:43.5 HIP 79578 23.66
2026-09-29 12:00 16:13:09.46 -31:21:10.6 HIP 79578 22.89
2026-09-30 00:00 16:13:18.73 -31:20:38.0 HIP 79578 22.26
2026-09-30 12:00 16:13:28.08 -31:20:05.9 HIP 79578 21.80
2026-10-01 00:00 16:13:37.51 -31:19:34.2 HIP 79578 21.51
2026-10-01 12:00 16:13:47.03 -31:19:03.0 HIP 79578 21.40
2026-10-02 00:00 16:13:56.63 -31:18:32.1 HIP 79578 21.50
2026-10-02 12:00 16:14:06.31 -31:18:01.7 HIP 79578 21.79
2026-10-03 00:00 16:14:16.08 -31:17:31.7 HIP 79578 22.27
2026-10-03 12:00 16:14:25.92 -31:17:02.1 HIP 79578 22.94
2026-10-04 00:00 16:14:35.84 -31:16:32.9 HIP 79578 23.78
2026-10-04 12:00 16:14:45.85 -31:16:04.1 HIP 79578 24.79
2026-10-05 00:00 16:14:55.93 -31:15:35.8 HIP 79578 25.94
2026-10-05 12:00 16:15:06.09 -31:15:07.8 HIP 79578 27.22
2026-10-06 00:00 16:15:16.32 -31:14:40.2 HIP 79578 28.62
2026-10-06 12:00 16:15:26.64 -31:14:13.1 HIP 79578 30.12
2026-10-07 00:00 16:15:37.03 -31:13:46.3 HIP 79578 31.71
2026-10-07 12:00 16:15:47.49 -31:13:20.0 HIP 79731 32.07
2026-10-08 00:00 16:15:58.03 -31:12:54.0 HIP 79731 31.23
2026-10-08 12:00 16:16:08.64 -31:12:28.4 HIP 79731 30.53
2026-10-09 00:00 16:16:19.33 -31:12:03.3 HIP 79731 30.01
2026-10-09 12:00 16:16:30.09 -31:11:38.5 HIP 79731 29.67
2026-10-10 00:00 16:16:40.92 -31:11:14.0 HIP 79731 29.52
2026-10-10 12:00 16:16:51.82 -31:10:50.0 HIP 79731 29.57
2026-10-11 00:00 16:17:02.79 -31:10:26.4 HIP 79731 29.82