C/2015 X4 (Elenin)

Metadata

Parameter Value
Designation C/2015 X4 (Elenin)
Type C
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2015-11-03T11:14:21.828480Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2022-05-19T21:12:39Z
Obs used 607
NEO -
M1 13.000
K1 4.500
PC -
Osculating Elements
Parameter Value
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2016-02-01.0000000
e 0.81280434
q (au) 3.394686
a (au) 18.134427
i (deg) 29.504921
Ω (om, deg) 262.635812
ω (w, deg) 176.329174
M (ma, deg) 1.142681

Magnitude

C/2015 X4 (Elenin) · Magnitude (Full range)

Scatter + Global Linear

$$ M_a = (11.919 + 2.000\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

Model Parameters

Parameter Value
H0 11.919
n 2.000
gf 0.807
gb -0.500
k 0.997
δ90 1.000
Parameter Symbol Range Description
Absolute magnitude at 1 AU from Sun and Earth H0 -5 to 20 Intrinsic brightness of the comet
Photometric slope parameter n 2 to 6 Rate of brightness change with heliocentric distance
Forward scattering asymmetry factor gf 0.8 to 1 Degree of forward scattering
Backward scattering asymmetry factor gb -1 to -0.5 Degree of backward scattering
Partitioning coefficient k 0.8 to 1 Ratio between forward/backward scattering contributions
Dust-to-gas brightness ratio δ90 1 to 10 Relative contribution of dust scattering to gas emission

Reference: EPSC-DPS2025-160

Residuals (Piecewise)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

Start (UTC) End (UTC) a b
2014-12-22 2015-11-02 +10.5196 -3.568
2015-12-02 2017-03-24 -2.7904 +1.550

log10 r = log10(heliocentric distance / AU), Δ = geocentric distance (AU)

Ephemeris

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-07-29 00:00 14:37:59.30 -33:10:50.1 HIP 71477 11.68
2026-07-29 12:00 14:37:59.59 -33:10:19.5 HIP 71477 11.75
2026-07-30 00:00 14:37:59.93 -33:09:49.1 HIP 71477 11.85
2026-07-30 12:00 14:38:00.33 -33:09:18.9 HIP 71477 11.99
2026-07-31 00:00 14:38:00.78 -33:08:48.9 HIP 71477 12.15
2026-07-31 12:00 14:38:01.29 -33:08:19.1 HIP 71477 12.35
2026-08-01 00:00 14:38:01.86 -33:07:49.6 HIP 71477 12.57
2026-08-01 12:00 14:38:02.48 -33:07:20.4 HIP 71477 12.82
2026-08-02 00:00 14:38:03.16 -33:06:51.3 HIP 71477 13.09
2026-08-02 12:00 14:38:03.90 -33:06:22.5 HIP 71477 13.39
2026-08-03 00:00 14:38:04.69 -33:05:53.9 HIP 71477 13.71
2026-08-03 12:00 14:38:05.54 -33:05:25.6 HIP 71477 14.05
2026-08-04 00:00 14:38:06.44 -33:04:57.5 HIP 71477 14.41
2026-08-04 12:00 14:38:07.40 -33:04:29.7 HIP 71477 14.78
2026-08-05 00:00 14:38:08.42 -33:04:02.1 HIP 71477 15.17
2026-08-05 12:00 14:38:09.49 -33:03:34.8 HIP 71477 15.58
2026-08-06 00:00 14:38:10.62 -33:03:07.7 HIP 71477 16.00
2026-08-06 12:00 14:38:11.80 -33:02:40.8 HIP 71477 16.44
2026-08-07 00:00 14:38:13.04 -33:02:14.2 HIP 71477 16.88
2026-08-07 12:00 14:38:14.33 -33:01:47.9 HIP 71477 17.34
2026-08-08 00:00 14:38:15.68 -33:01:21.8 HIP 71477 17.81
2026-08-08 12:00 14:38:17.09 -33:00:55.9 HIP 71477 18.29
2026-08-09 00:00 14:38:18.55 -33:00:30.4 HIP 71477 18.78
2026-08-09 12:00 14:38:20.07 -33:00:05.0 HIP 71477 19.28
2026-08-10 00:00 14:38:21.64 -32:59:40.0 HIP 71477 19.78
2026-08-10 12:00 14:38:23.27 -32:59:15.2 HIP 71477 20.30
2026-08-11 00:00 14:38:24.95 -32:58:50.7 HIP 71477 20.82
2026-08-11 12:00 14:38:26.69 -32:58:26.4 HIP 71477 21.35
2026-08-12 00:00 14:38:28.48 -32:58:02.4 HIP 71477 21.89
2026-08-12 12:00 14:38:30.33 -32:57:38.7 HIP 71477 22.44
2026-08-13 00:00 14:38:32.23 -32:57:15.2 HIP 71477 22.99
2026-08-13 12:00 14:38:34.19 -32:56:52.0 HIP 71477 23.55
2026-08-14 00:00 14:38:36.20 -32:56:29.1 HIP 71477 24.12
2026-08-14 12:00 14:38:38.26 -32:56:06.5 HIP 71477 24.69
2026-08-15 00:00 14:38:40.38 -32:55:44.1 HIP 71477 25.27
2026-08-15 12:00 14:38:42.56 -32:55:22.0 HIP 71477 25.85
2026-08-16 00:00 14:38:44.78 -32:55:00.2 HIP 71477 26.45
2026-08-16 12:00 14:38:47.06 -32:54:38.6 HIP 71477 27.04
2026-08-17 00:00 14:38:49.40 -32:54:17.4 HIP 71477 27.65
2026-08-17 12:00 14:38:51.78 -32:53:56.4 HIP 71477 28.26
2026-08-18 00:00 14:38:54.22 -32:53:35.7 HIP 71477 28.88
2026-08-18 12:00 14:38:56.71 -32:53:15.3 HIP 71477 29.50
2026-08-19 00:00 14:38:59.26 -32:52:55.1 HIP 71445 30.00