C/2015 X4 (Elenin)

메타데이터

항목 값
Designation C/2015 X4 (Elenin)
Type C
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2015-11-03T11:14:21.828480Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2022-05-19T21:12:39Z
Obs used 607
NEO -
M1 13.000
K1 4.500
PC -
Osculating 궤도요소
항목 값
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2016-02-01.0000000
e 0.81280434
q (au) 3.394686
a (au) 18.134427
i (deg) 29.504921
Ω (om, deg) 262.635812
ω (w, deg) 176.329174
M (ma, deg) 1.142681

밝기

C/2015 X4 (Elenin) · Magnitude (Full range)

산란 + 전체 선형

$$ M_a = (11.919 + 2.000\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

모델 상수

항목 값
H0 11.919
n 2.000
gf 0.807
gb -0.500
k 0.997
δ90 1.000
파라미터 기호 범위 설명
태양·지구거리 1 AU에서의 절대등급 H0 -5 to 20 혜성의 고유 밝기
광도 기울기 파라미터 n 2 to 6 태양거리 변화에 따른 밝기 변화율
전방 산란 비대칭 계수 gf 0.8 to 1 전방 산란의 강도
후방 산란 비대칭 계수 gb -1 to -0.5 후방 산란의 강도
분할 계수 k 0.8 to 1 전·후방 산란 기여도 비율
먼지/가스 밝기 비 δ90 1 to 10 코마에서 먼지 산란 대비 가스 방출의 상대 기여

참고: EPSC-DPS2025-160

잔차 (구간 선형)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

시작일 (UTC) 끝 (UTC) a b
2014-12-22 2015-11-02 +10.5196 -3.568
2015-12-02 2017-03-24 -2.7904 +1.550

log10 r = log10(태양거리/AU), Δ = 지구거리(AU)

천체력

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-09-20 00:00 14:43:21.27 -32:41:28.4 HIP 71922 9.68
2026-09-20 12:00 14:43:26.74 -32:41:27.2 HIP 71922 10.81
2026-09-21 00:00 14:43:32.25 -32:41:26.2 HIP 71922 11.95
2026-09-21 12:00 14:43:37.79 -32:41:25.6 HIP 71922 13.10
2026-09-22 00:00 14:43:43.36 -32:41:25.2 HIP 71922 14.26
2026-09-22 12:00 14:43:48.97 -32:41:25.2 HIP 71922 15.43
2026-09-23 00:00 14:43:54.62 -32:41:25.4 HIP 71922 16.60
2026-09-23 12:00 14:44:00.30 -32:41:25.9 HIP 71922 17.79
2026-09-24 00:00 14:44:06.01 -32:41:26.7 HIP 72149 18.30
2026-09-24 12:00 14:44:11.75 -32:41:27.7 HIP 72149 17.19
2026-09-25 00:00 14:44:17.53 -32:41:29.1 HIP 72149 16.08
2026-09-25 12:00 14:44:23.34 -32:41:30.7 HIP 72149 14.98
2026-09-26 00:00 14:44:29.19 -32:41:32.6 HIP 72149 13.90
2026-09-26 12:00 14:44:35.07 -32:41:34.8 HIP 72149 12.83
2026-09-27 00:00 14:44:40.98 -32:41:37.3 HIP 72149 11.79
2026-09-27 12:00 14:44:46.92 -32:41:40.0 HIP 72149 10.78
2026-09-28 00:00 14:44:52.89 -32:41:43.0 HIP 72149 9.81
2026-09-28 12:00 14:44:58.89 -32:41:46.3 HIP 72149 8.92
2026-09-29 00:00 14:45:04.93 -32:41:49.9 HIP 72149 8.11
2026-09-29 12:00 14:45:10.99 -32:41:53.8 HIP 72149 7.43
2026-09-30 00:00 14:45:17.08 -32:41:57.9 HIP 72149 6.92
2026-09-30 12:00 14:45:23.21 -32:42:02.3 HIP 72149 6.61
2026-10-01 00:00 14:45:29.36 -32:42:07.0 HIP 72149 6.54
2026-10-01 12:00 14:45:35.55 -32:42:11.9 HIP 72149 6.72
2026-10-02 00:00 14:45:41.76 -32:42:17.2 HIP 72149 7.14
2026-10-02 12:00 14:45:48.00 -32:42:22.7 HIP 72149 7.76
2026-10-03 00:00 14:45:54.27 -32:42:28.4 HIP 72149 8.54
2026-10-03 12:00 14:46:00.57 -32:42:34.5 HIP 72149 9.44
2026-10-04 00:00 14:46:06.89 -32:42:40.8 HIP 72149 10.44
2026-10-04 12:00 14:46:13.24 -32:42:47.4 HIP 72149 11.50
2026-10-05 00:00 14:46:19.62 -32:42:54.2 HIP 72149 12.62
2026-10-05 12:00 14:46:26.03 -32:43:01.3 HIP 72149 13.79
2026-10-06 00:00 14:46:32.46 -32:43:08.7 HIP 72149 14.99
2026-10-06 12:00 14:46:38.92 -32:43:16.4 HIP 72149 16.22
2026-10-07 00:00 14:46:45.41 -32:43:24.3 HIP 72149 17.47
2026-10-07 12:00 14:46:51.92 -32:43:32.4 HIP 72279 18.39
2026-10-08 00:00 14:46:58.45 -32:43:40.9 HIP 72279 18.30
2026-10-08 12:00 14:47:05.01 -32:43:49.6 HIP 72279 18.30
2026-10-09 00:00 14:47:11.59 -32:43:58.6 HIP 72279 18.41
2026-10-09 12:00 14:47:18.20 -32:44:07.8 HIP 72279 18.62
2026-10-10 00:00 14:47:24.83 -32:44:17.3 HIP 72439 17.43
2026-10-10 12:00 14:47:31.49 -32:44:27.0 HIP 72439 16.03
2026-10-11 00:00 14:47:38.16 -32:44:37.0 HIP 72439 14.62