81P/Wild 2

Metadata

Parameter Value
Designation 81P/Wild 2
Type P
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2022-12-15T18:49:47.694720Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2024-09-12T12:06:16Z
Obs used 2795
NEO -
M1 9.800
K1 12.500
PC 0.030
Osculating Elements
Parameter Value
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2019-11-21.0000000
e 0.53739891
q (au) 1.595856
a (au) 3.449746
i (deg) 3.237004
Ω (om, deg) 136.110221
ω (w, deg) 41.725231
M (ma, deg) 187.596681

Magnitude

81P/Wild 2 · Magnitude (Full range)

Scatter + Global Linear

$$ M_a = (9.658 + 5.323\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

Model Parameters

Parameter Value
H0 9.658
n 5.323
gf 0.800
gb -0.500
k 0.894
δ90 1.000
Parameter Symbol Range Description
Absolute magnitude at 1 AU from Sun and Earth H0 -5 to 20 Intrinsic brightness of the comet
Photometric slope parameter n 2 to 6 Rate of brightness change with heliocentric distance
Forward scattering asymmetry factor gf 0.8 to 1 Degree of forward scattering
Backward scattering asymmetry factor gb -1 to -0.5 Degree of backward scattering
Partitioning coefficient k 0.8 to 1 Ratio between forward/backward scattering contributions
Dust-to-gas brightness ratio δ90 1 to 10 Relative contribution of dust scattering to gas emission

Reference: EPSC-DPS2025-160

Residuals (Piecewise)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

Start (UTC) End (UTC) a b
2020-09-17 2022-12-15 +5.7911 -3.099
2022-12-15 2023-03-16 +32.4001 -7.929
2023-03-16 2024-09-07 -2.8049 +1.007

log10 r = log10(heliocentric distance / AU), Δ = geocentric distance (AU)

Ephemeris

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-07-29 00:00 01:04:46.66 +03:58:57.4 HIP 5023 15.93
2026-07-29 12:00 01:04:46.48 +03:58:35.6 HIP 5023 16.25
2026-07-30 00:00 01:04:46.11 +03:58:12.6 HIP 5023 16.57
2026-07-30 12:00 01:04:45.57 +03:57:48.6 HIP 5023 16.90
2026-07-31 00:00 01:04:44.85 +03:57:23.4 HIP 5023 17.23
2026-07-31 12:00 01:04:43.95 +03:56:57.0 HIP 5023 17.57
2026-08-01 00:00 01:04:42.87 +03:56:29.6 HIP 5023 17.93
2026-08-01 12:00 01:04:41.61 +03:56:01.0 HIP 5023 18.29
2026-08-02 00:00 01:04:40.16 +03:55:31.2 HIP 5023 18.68
2026-08-02 12:00 01:04:38.54 +03:55:00.4 HIP 5023 19.08
2026-08-03 00:00 01:04:36.73 +03:54:28.4 HIP 5023 19.51
2026-08-03 12:00 01:04:34.74 +03:53:55.3 HIP 5023 19.97
2026-08-04 00:00 01:04:32.57 +03:53:21.0 HIP 5023 20.45
2026-08-04 12:00 01:04:30.22 +03:52:45.6 HIP 5023 20.97
2026-08-05 00:00 01:04:27.68 +03:52:09.1 HIP 5023 21.52
2026-08-05 12:00 01:04:24.96 +03:51:31.5 HIP 5023 22.11
2026-08-06 00:00 01:04:22.05 +03:50:52.7 HIP 5023 22.74
2026-08-06 12:00 01:04:18.96 +03:50:12.7 HIP 5023 23.42
2026-08-07 00:00 01:04:15.69 +03:49:31.6 HIP 5023 24.14
2026-08-07 12:00 01:04:12.23 +03:48:49.4 HIP 5023 24.91
2026-08-08 00:00 01:04:08.59 +03:48:06.1 HIP 5023 25.73
2026-08-08 12:00 01:04:04.76 +03:47:21.6 HIP 5023 26.60
2026-08-09 00:00 01:04:00.74 +03:46:36.0 HIP 5023 27.52
2026-08-09 12:00 01:03:56.54 +03:45:49.2 HIP 5023 28.50
2026-08-10 00:00 01:03:52.16 +03:45:01.3 HIP 5023 29.53
2026-08-10 12:00 01:03:47.59 +03:44:12.3 HIP 4945 29.37
2026-08-11 00:00 01:03:42.83 +03:43:22.1 HIP 4945 28.35
2026-08-11 12:00 01:03:37.89 +03:42:30.8 HIP 4945 27.34
2026-08-12 00:00 01:03:32.77 +03:41:38.4 HIP 4945 26.36
2026-08-12 12:00 01:03:27.46 +03:40:44.9 HIP 4945 25.41
2026-08-13 00:00 01:03:21.96 +03:39:50.3 HIP 4945 24.52
2026-08-13 12:00 01:03:16.28 +03:38:54.5 HIP 4945 23.70
2026-08-14 00:00 01:03:10.41 +03:37:57.6 HIP 4945 22.96
2026-08-14 12:00 01:03:04.37 +03:36:59.6 HIP 4945 22.32
2026-08-15 00:00 01:02:58.13 +03:36:00.6 HIP 4945 21.81
2026-08-15 12:00 01:02:51.72 +03:35:00.4 HIP 4945 21.45
2026-08-16 00:00 01:02:45.12 +03:33:59.1 HIP 4945 21.25
2026-08-16 12:00 01:02:38.34 +03:32:56.7 HIP 4945 21.25
2026-08-17 00:00 01:02:31.38 +03:31:53.3 HIP 4759 21.22
2026-08-17 12:00 01:02:24.23 +03:30:48.7 HIP 4759 19.21
2026-08-18 00:00 01:02:16.91 +03:29:43.1 HIP 4759 17.17
2026-08-18 12:00 01:02:09.40 +03:28:36.4 HIP 4759 15.10
2026-08-19 00:00 01:02:01.72 +03:27:28.7 HIP 4759 13.03