81P/Wild 2

메타데이터

항목 값
Designation 81P/Wild 2
Type P
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2022-12-15T18:49:47.694720Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2024-09-12T12:06:16Z
Obs used 2795
NEO -
M1 9.800
K1 12.500
PC 0.030
Osculating 궤도요소
항목 값
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2019-11-21.0000000
e 0.53739891
q (au) 1.595856
a (au) 3.449746
i (deg) 3.237004
Ω (om, deg) 136.110221
ω (w, deg) 41.725231
M (ma, deg) 187.596681

밝기

81P/Wild 2 · Magnitude (Full range)

산란 + 전체 선형

$$ M_a = (9.658 + 5.323\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

모델 상수

항목 값
H0 9.658
n 5.323
gf 0.800
gb -0.500
k 0.894
δ90 1.000
파라미터 기호 범위 설명
태양·지구거리 1 AU에서의 절대등급 H0 -5 to 20 혜성의 고유 밝기
광도 기울기 파라미터 n 2 to 6 태양거리 변화에 따른 밝기 변화율
전방 산란 비대칭 계수 gf 0.8 to 1 전방 산란의 강도
후방 산란 비대칭 계수 gb -1 to -0.5 후방 산란의 강도
분할 계수 k 0.8 to 1 전·후방 산란 기여도 비율
먼지/가스 밝기 비 δ90 1 to 10 코마에서 먼지 산란 대비 가스 방출의 상대 기여

참고: EPSC-DPS2025-160

잔차 (구간 선형)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

시작일 (UTC) 끝 (UTC) a b
2020-09-17 2022-12-15 +5.7911 -3.099
2022-12-15 2023-03-16 +32.4001 -7.929
2023-03-16 2024-09-07 -2.8049 +1.007

log10 r = log10(태양거리/AU), Δ = 지구거리(AU)

천체력

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-09-20 00:00 00:48:21.32 +01:44:16.5 HIP 3655 26.17
2026-09-20 12:00 00:48:04.45 +01:42:18.9 HIP 3655 21.53
2026-09-21 00:00 00:47:47.51 +01:40:20.9 HIP 3655 16.86
2026-09-21 12:00 00:47:30.49 +01:38:22.7 HIP 3655 12.18
2026-09-22 00:00 00:47:13.40 +01:36:24.2 HIP 3655 7.49
2026-09-22 12:00 00:46:56.23 +01:34:25.4 HIP 3655 2.82
2026-09-23 00:00 00:46:39.00 +01:32:26.4 HIP 3655 2.13
2026-09-23 12:00 00:46:21.71 +01:30:27.1 HIP 3655 6.81
2026-09-24 00:00 00:46:04.35 +01:28:27.7 HIP 3655 11.56
2026-09-24 12:00 00:45:46.93 +01:26:28.0 HIP 3655 16.35
2026-09-25 00:00 00:45:29.45 +01:24:28.2 HIP 3655 21.15
2026-09-25 12:00 00:45:11.92 +01:22:28.2 HIP 3535 24.81
2026-09-26 00:00 00:44:54.34 +01:20:28.1 HIP 3535 26.88
2026-09-26 12:00 00:44:36.71 +01:18:27.9 HIP 3535 29.60
2026-09-27 00:00 00:44:19.03 +01:16:27.6 HIP 3535 32.82
2026-09-27 12:00 00:44:01.30 +01:14:27.2 HIP 3302 30.55
2026-09-28 00:00 00:43:43.54 +01:12:26.7 HIP 3302 25.69
2026-09-28 12:00 00:43:25.73 +01:10:26.1 HIP 3302 20.83
2026-09-29 00:00 00:43:07.89 +01:08:25.6 HIP 3302 15.97
2026-09-29 12:00 00:42:50.01 +01:06:25.0 HIP 3302 11.13
2026-09-30 00:00 00:42:32.11 +01:04:24.5 HIP 3302 6.37
2026-09-30 12:00 00:42:14.17 +01:02:23.9 HIP 3302 2.34
2026-10-01 00:00 00:41:56.21 +01:00:23.4 HIP 3296 1.83
2026-10-01 12:00 00:41:38.22 +00:58:23.0 HIP 3296 6.73
2026-10-02 00:00 00:41:20.22 +00:56:22.6 HIP 3296 11.66
2026-10-02 12:00 00:41:02.20 +00:54:22.3 HIP 3296 16.59
2026-10-03 00:00 00:40:44.16 +00:52:22.2 HIP 3296 21.52
2026-10-03 12:00 00:40:26.11 +00:50:22.2 HIP 3055 25.31
2026-10-04 00:00 00:40:08.05 +00:48:22.3 HIP 3055 21.68
2026-10-04 12:00 00:39:49.99 +00:46:22.6 HIP 3055 18.64
2026-10-05 00:00 00:39:31.92 +00:44:23.2 HIP 3055 16.54
2026-10-05 12:00 00:39:13.86 +00:42:23.9 HIP 3055 15.76
2026-10-06 00:00 00:38:55.79 +00:40:24.8 HIP 3055 16.49
2026-10-06 12:00 00:38:37.74 +00:38:26.1 HIP 2982 15.84
2026-10-07 00:00 00:38:19.69 +00:36:27.5 HIP 2982 11.65
2026-10-07 12:00 00:38:01.65 +00:34:29.3 HIP 2982 8.30
2026-10-08 00:00 00:37:43.63 +00:32:31.4 HIP 2982 7.12
2026-10-08 12:00 00:37:25.62 +00:30:33.9 HIP 2982 8.98
2026-10-09 00:00 00:37:07.64 +00:28:36.6 HIP 2982 12.60
2026-10-09 12:00 00:36:49.68 +00:26:39.8 HIP 2982 16.88
2026-10-10 00:00 00:36:31.75 +00:24:43.4 HIP 2982 21.41
2026-10-10 12:00 00:36:13.85 +00:22:47.3 HIP 2982 26.06
2026-10-11 00:00 00:35:55.98 +00:20:51.7 HIP 2982 30.77