104P/Kowal 2

メタデータ

項目
Designation 104P/Kowal 2
Type P
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2022-01-11T14:49:09.753600Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2023-04-05T03:16:58Z
Obs used 1551
NEO Yes
M1 14.600
K1 12.750
PC 0.030
オスキュレーティング軌道要素
項目
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2021-09-29.0000000
e 0.66545272
q (au) 1.073098
a (au) 3.207614
i (deg) 5.701090
Ω (om, deg) 207.213526
ω (w, deg) 227.245888
M (ma, deg) 342.051208

等級

104P/Kowal 2 · Magnitude (Full range)

散乱 + 全体線形

$$ M_a = (13.882 + 3.137\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

モデル定数

項目
H0 13.882
n 3.137
gf 1.000
gb -0.998
k 1.000
δ90 10.000
パラメータ 記号 範囲 説明
太陽・地球距離が1 AUのときの絶対等級 H0 -5 to 20 彗星の固有の明るさ
測光スロープパラメータ n 2 to 6 太陽距離に対する明るさ変化率
前方散乱非対称係数 gf 0.8 to 1 前方散乱の強さ
後方散乱非対称係数 gb -1 to -0.5 後方散乱の強さ
分配係数 k 0.8 to 1 前方/後方散乱の寄与比
ダスト/ガス明るさ比 δ90 1 to 10 ダスト散乱とガス放射の相対寄与

参考: EPSC-DPS2025-160

残差 (区間線形)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

開始日 (UTC) 終了日 (UTC) a b
2021-08-11 2021-11-29 +3.2064 +1.741
2021-11-29 2022-01-11 +71.5132 -3.914
2022-01-11 2022-07-20 -2.8823 -1.387

log10 r = log10(太陽距離/AU)、Δ = 地球距離(AU)

天体暦

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-07-29 00:00 18:53:10.50 -15:25:57.4 HIP 92660 7.16
2026-07-29 12:00 18:52:46.51 -15:26:48.5 HIP 92660 7.37
2026-07-30 00:00 18:52:22.66 -15:27:39.8 HIP 92660 11.19
2026-07-30 12:00 18:51:58.95 -15:28:31.2 HIP 92660 16.21
2026-07-31 00:00 18:51:35.40 -15:29:22.9 HIP 92660 21.58
2026-07-31 12:00 18:51:11.99 -15:30:14.8 HIP 92660 27.07
2026-08-01 00:00 18:50:48.74 -15:31:06.8 HIP 92660 32.60
2026-08-01 12:00 18:50:25.65 -15:31:59.0 HIP 92292 29.80
2026-08-02 00:00 18:50:02.73 -15:32:51.4 HIP 92292 25.59
2026-08-02 12:00 18:49:39.97 -15:33:44.0 HIP 92292 22.04
2026-08-03 00:00 18:49:17.38 -15:34:36.7 HIP 92292 19.48
2026-08-03 12:00 18:48:54.96 -15:35:29.6 HIP 92292 18.29
2026-08-04 00:00 18:48:32.73 -15:36:22.7 HIP 92292 18.69
2026-08-04 12:00 18:48:10.67 -15:37:15.9 HIP 92292 20.56
2026-08-05 00:00 18:47:48.80 -15:38:09.2 HIP 92205 21.30
2026-08-05 12:00 18:47:27.12 -15:39:02.7 HIP 92205 19.99
2026-08-06 00:00 18:47:05.63 -15:39:56.3 HIP 92090 18.36
2026-08-06 12:00 18:46:44.34 -15:40:50.0 HIP 92090 15.39
2026-08-07 00:00 18:46:23.24 -15:41:43.8 HIP 92090 13.82
2026-08-07 12:00 18:46:02.35 -15:42:37.8 HIP 92090 14.09
2026-08-08 00:00 18:45:41.66 -15:43:31.9 HIP 92090 16.05
2026-08-08 12:00 18:45:21.18 -15:44:26.1 HIP 92090 19.16
2026-08-09 00:00 18:45:00.92 -15:45:20.4 HIP 91976 19.74
2026-08-09 12:00 18:44:40.87 -15:46:14.7 HIP 91976 18.79
2026-08-10 00:00 18:44:21.04 -15:47:09.2 HIP 91976 19.07
2026-08-10 12:00 18:44:01.43 -15:48:03.8 HIP 91976 20.50
2026-08-11 00:00 18:43:42.05 -15:48:58.4 HIP 91725 20.69
2026-08-11 12:00 18:43:22.89 -15:49:53.1 HIP 91725 16.02
2026-08-12 00:00 18:43:03.97 -15:50:47.9 HIP 91725 11.41
2026-08-12 12:00 18:42:45.28 -15:51:42.7 HIP 91725 6.91
2026-08-13 00:00 18:42:26.83 -15:52:37.6 HIP 91725 2.78
2026-08-13 12:00 18:42:08.62 -15:53:32.5 HIP 91725 2.91
2026-08-14 00:00 18:41:50.65 -15:54:27.5 HIP 91725 6.97
2026-08-14 12:00 18:41:32.93 -15:55:22.5 HIP 91725 11.24
2026-08-15 00:00 18:41:15.46 -15:56:17.5 HIP 91725 15.50
2026-08-15 12:00 18:40:58.23 -15:57:12.6 HIP 91725 19.73
2026-08-16 00:00 18:40:41.26 -15:58:07.6 HIP 91725 23.90
2026-08-16 12:00 18:40:24.55 -15:59:02.7 HIP 91725 28.01
2026-08-17 00:00 18:40:08.09 -15:59:57.8 HIP 91414 28.78
2026-08-17 12:00 18:39:51.89 -16:00:52.9 HIP 91414 25.28
2026-08-18 00:00 18:39:35.95 -16:01:48.0 HIP 91414 22.00
2026-08-18 12:00 18:39:20.28 -16:02:43.1 HIP 91414 19.01
2026-08-19 00:00 18:39:04.87 -16:03:38.2 HIP 91414 16.42