104P/Kowal 2

메타데이터

항목 값
Designation 104P/Kowal 2
Type P
Perihelion (tp_cal, UTC) 2022-01-11T14:49:09.753600Z
Orbit solution date (soln_date, UTC) 2023-04-05T03:16:58Z
Obs used 1551
NEO Yes
M1 14.600
K1 12.750
PC 0.030
Osculating 궤도요소
항목 값
Epoch (epoch_cal, TDB) 2021-09-29.0000000
e 0.66545272
q (au) 1.073098
a (au) 3.207614
i (deg) 5.701090
Ω (om, deg) 207.213526
ω (w, deg) 227.245888
M (ma, deg) 342.051208

밝기

104P/Kowal 2 · Magnitude (Full range)

산란 + 전체 선형

$$ M_a = (13.882 + 3.137\cdot 2.5\log_{10} r) + \epsilon - 2.5\log_{10}\Phi(\theta) + 5\log_{10}\Delta $$ $$ \theta = 180^\circ - \alpha $$ $$ \Phi(\theta) = \frac{\delta_{90} D(\theta) + 1}{\delta_{90} + 1},\quad D(\theta) = k\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_f) + (1-k)\cdot \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g_b) $$ $$ \Phi_{HG}(\theta; g) = \left(\frac{1+g^2}{1+g^2-2g\cos\theta}\right)^{3/2},\quad \Phi_{HG}(90^\circ)=1 $$

모델 상수

항목 값
H0 13.882
n 3.137
gf 1.000
gb -0.998
k 1.000
δ90 10.000
파라미터 기호 범위 설명
태양·지구거리 1 AU에서의 절대등급 H0 -5 to 20 혜성의 고유 밝기
광도 기울기 파라미터 n 2 to 6 태양거리 변화에 따른 밝기 변화율
전방 산란 비대칭 계수 gf 0.8 to 1 전방 산란의 강도
후방 산란 비대칭 계수 gb -1 to -0.5 후방 산란의 강도
분할 계수 k 0.8 to 1 전·후방 산란 기여도 비율
먼지/가스 밝기 비 δ90 1 to 10 코마에서 먼지 산란 대비 가스 방출의 상대 기여

참고: EPSC-DPS2025-160

잔차 (구간 선형)

$$\epsilon = a \log_{10} r_{\mathrm{au}} + b$$

시작일 (UTC) 끝 (UTC) a b
2021-08-11 2021-11-29 +3.2064 +1.741
2021-11-29 2022-01-11 +71.5132 -3.914
2022-01-11 2022-07-20 -2.8823 -1.387

log10 r = log10(태양거리/AU), Δ = 지구거리(AU)

천체력

Date/Time (UTC) RA (J2000) Dec (J2000) Nearest HIP Dist from HIP (arcmin)
2026-09-20 00:00 18:32:36.47 -16:58:48.8 HIP 90939 25.93
2026-09-20 12:00 18:32:40.01 -16:59:34.1 HIP 90939 26.49
2026-09-21 00:00 18:32:43.84 -17:00:19.1 HIP 90939 27.06
2026-09-21 12:00 18:32:47.95 -17:01:03.7 HIP 90939 27.66
2026-09-22 00:00 18:32:52.36 -17:01:48.1 HIP 90939 28.29
2026-09-22 12:00 18:32:57.05 -17:02:32.2 HIP 90939 28.95
2026-09-23 00:00 18:33:02.02 -17:03:16.0 HIP 90939 29.65
2026-09-23 12:00 18:33:07.28 -17:03:59.4 HIP 91112 29.24
2026-09-24 00:00 18:33:12.82 -17:04:42.5 HIP 91112 28.06
2026-09-24 12:00 18:33:18.65 -17:05:25.3 HIP 91112 26.86
2026-09-25 00:00 18:33:24.76 -17:06:07.8 HIP 91112 25.62
2026-09-25 12:00 18:33:31.14 -17:06:49.9 HIP 91112 24.37
2026-09-26 00:00 18:33:37.81 -17:07:31.7 HIP 91112 23.11
2026-09-26 12:00 18:33:44.76 -17:08:13.2 HIP 91112 21.85
2026-09-27 00:00 18:33:51.98 -17:08:54.3 HIP 91112 20.60
2026-09-27 12:00 18:33:59.49 -17:09:35.0 HIP 91112 19.40
2026-09-28 00:00 18:34:07.26 -17:10:15.4 HIP 91112 18.27
2026-09-28 12:00 18:34:15.32 -17:10:55.5 HIP 91112 17.23
2026-09-29 00:00 18:34:23.64 -17:11:35.2 HIP 91112 16.34
2026-09-29 12:00 18:34:32.24 -17:12:14.5 HIP 91112 15.63
2026-09-30 00:00 18:34:41.12 -17:12:53.4 HIP 91112 15.17
2026-09-30 12:00 18:34:50.26 -17:13:32.0 HIP 91112 15.00
2026-10-01 00:00 18:34:59.67 -17:14:10.2 HIP 91112 15.17
2026-10-01 12:00 18:35:09.36 -17:14:48.0 HIP 91112 15.67
2026-10-02 00:00 18:35:19.31 -17:15:25.4 HIP 91112 16.52
2026-10-02 12:00 18:35:29.53 -17:16:02.4 HIP 91246 17.65
2026-10-03 00:00 18:35:40.02 -17:16:39.1 HIP 91246 15.36
2026-10-03 12:00 18:35:50.78 -17:17:15.3 HIP 91246 13.12
2026-10-04 00:00 18:36:01.80 -17:17:51.1 HIP 91246 11.00
2026-10-04 12:00 18:36:13.09 -17:18:26.5 HIP 91246 9.14
2026-10-05 00:00 18:36:24.64 -17:19:01.5 HIP 91246 7.79
2026-10-05 12:00 18:36:36.45 -17:19:36.0 HIP 91246 7.31
2026-10-06 00:00 18:36:48.52 -17:20:10.2 HIP 91246 7.92
2026-10-06 12:00 18:37:00.86 -17:20:43.8 HIP 91246 9.48
2026-10-07 00:00 18:37:13.46 -17:21:17.1 HIP 91246 11.65
2026-10-07 12:00 18:37:26.31 -17:21:49.9 HIP 91343 9.98
2026-10-08 00:00 18:37:39.42 -17:22:22.2 HIP 91343 8.97
2026-10-08 12:00 18:37:52.80 -17:22:54.1 HIP 91343 9.03
2026-10-09 00:00 18:38:06.42 -17:23:25.6 HIP 91343 10.19
2026-10-09 12:00 18:38:20.30 -17:23:56.5 HIP 91343 12.18
2026-10-10 00:00 18:38:34.44 -17:24:27.0 HIP 91343 14.71
2026-10-10 12:00 18:38:48.83 -17:24:57.0 HIP 91343 17.59
2026-10-11 00:00 18:39:03.47 -17:25:26.5 HIP 91343 20.69